Assessing airport ground access interventions: An integrated approach combining mode choice modeling and microscopic traffic simulation

Airport ground accessibility is an important and integral part of airport planning, which significantly impacts airport attractiveness and its environmental sustainability. In this paper, we propose the combined use of road micro-simulation with meso-scope discrete choice modeling to support the evaluation of airport access interventions. The proposed integrated framework allows us to appraise mode choice and infrastructural interventions simultaneously to accurately assess the performance of airport access road networks in accommodating larger traffic. We validate and demonstrate the benefits of the proposed approach by applying it to a real-world case study based on the Milan–Bergamo Airport (BGY), in which (i) we conduct an ex-post counterfactual analysis to assess the impact of the interventions undertaken to mitigate the large growth (54.6%) in the years 2013–2019, and (ii) evaluate future scenarios up to 2030 considering the additional expected growth and introduction of direct rail services. Results indicate that BGY’s ground access interventions have contributed to effectively accommodating traffic growth by significantly mitigating road congestion and associated pollutant emissions. Results also inform on the need and effectiveness of additional interventions to meet the substantial expected future growth.